If you were President George W. Bush with all available US troops tied
down by the Iraqi resistance, and you were unable to control Iraq or
political developments in the country, would you also start a war with
Iran?
Yes, you would.
Bush's determination to spread Middle East conflict by striking at Iran
does not make sense.
First of all, Bush lacks the troops to do the job. If the US military
cannot successfully occupy Iraq, there is no way that the US can occupy
Iran, a country approximately three times the size in area and population.
Second, Iran can respond to a conventional air attack with missiles
targeted on American ships and bases, and on oil facilities located
throughout the Middle East.
Third, Iran has human assets, including the Shi'ite majority population in
Iraq, that it can activate to cause chaos throughout the Middle East.
Fourth, polls of US troops in Iraq indicate that a vast majority do not
believe in their mission and wish to be withdrawn. Unlike the yellow
ribbon folks at home, the troops are unlikely to be enthusiastic about
being trapped in an Iranian quagmire in addition to the Iraqi quagmire.
Fifth, Bush's polls are down to 34 percent, with a majority of Americans
believing that Bush's invasion of Iraq was a mistake.
If you were being whipped in one fight, would you start a second fight
with a bigger and stronger person?
That's what Bush is doing.
Opinion polls indicate that the Bush regime has succeeded in its plan to
make Americans fear Iran as the greatest threat America faces.
The Bush regime has created a major dispute with Iran over that country's
nuclear energy program and then blocked every effort to bring the dispute
to a peaceful end.
In order to gain a pretext for attacking Iran, the Bush regime is using
bribery and coercion in its effort to have Iran referred to the UN
Security Council for sanctions.
In recent statements President Bush and Pentagon chief Donald Rumsfeld
blamed Iran for the Iraqi resistance, claiming that the roadside bombs
used by the resistance are being supplied by Iran.
It is obvious that Bush intends to attack Iran and that he will use every
means to bring war about.
Yet, Bush has no conventional means of waging war with Iran. His
bloodthirsty neoconservatives have prepared plans for nuking Iran.
However, an unprovoked nuclear attack on Iran would leave the US, already
regarded as a pariah nation, totally isolated.
Readers, whose thinking runs ahead of that of most of us, tell me that
another 9/11 event will prepare the ground for a nuclear attack on Iran.
Some readers say that Bush, or Israel as in Israel's highly provocative
attack on the Jericho jail and kidnapping of prisoners with American
complicity, will provoke a second attack on the US. Others say that Bush
or the neoconservatives working with some "black ops" group will
orchestrate the attack.
One of the more extraordinary suggestions is that a low yield, perhaps
tactical, nuclear weapon will be exploded some distance out from a US
port. Death and destruction will be minimized, but fear and hysteria will
be maximized. Americans will be told that the ship bearing the weapon was
discovered and intercepted just in time, thanks to Bush's illegal spying
program, and that Iran is to blame. A more powerful wave of fear and
outrage will again bind the American people to Bush, and the US media will
not report the rest of the world's doubts of the explanation.
Reads like a Michael Crichton plot, doesn't it?
Fantasy? Let's hope so.
|